Polling can be valuable to
candidates for various reasons, such as how much money a candidate could gain
from polling results, understanding who might vote for them, and also how those
polling results will effect the decisions made on behalf of the campaign from
there on out. In this case though, it is important now to potential candidates
of the 2016 election because they can see if they are a front-runner, or if
they still need to work harder to become a serious potential candidate. In the
case of Jeb Bush, in recent polls he is one of the front-runners in the
Republican Party, but his position varies when you include everyone.
An interesting poll I researched
was one over the GOP primary for 2016 that has been tracking results since 2013
up until now and continues to do so. (Found in the link above.) Within this
particular poll, Jeb Bush has come out on top, which should be reassuring in
some aspect, but then again that was only one poll taken and polls are not
necessarily always accurate.
Here is another poll taken that had
the comparison of Jeb Bush vs. Hillary Clinton in 2016, which had an opposite
result for Jeb Bush. According to these results, Jeb has to climb a mountain if
he wants to catch up to Hillary Clinton, which is assuming though that they are
their party nominations in the 2016 presidential election. These polls in
general say that many individuals are aware of Jeb Bush at this point in time,
which is something positive to take away. Also the fact that he was within so
many polls really shows that people are interested in him, whether it is for
positive or even negative reasons. Overall these polls including Jeb Bush are
just some of many to consider, and even then you have to consider what goes
into each poll.
Although I did find a lot of
different polls that included Jeb Bush, I still believe though that polls’
ability to be accurate is truly based on luck. It is luck because each poll has
a different sample size, diversity within the sample; each poll is also
conducted at differing times, along with various other factors that contribute
to polling. Since it is about two years out from the election, there is still
so much time left and things change constantly, especially in an election as
enormous as this one. I believe that for potential candidates, such as Jeb
Bush, we can learn only so much that could help their campaigns at this point
in time. We will be able to learn more though the closer the time gets to the
election because more will be occurring with the candidates, and the polls
ability to be accurate will be much greater. All in all, polling can be useful,
but can also not be useful once-o-ever.
