Polling

Polling can be valuable to candidates for various reasons, such as how much money a candidate could gain from polling results, understanding who might vote for them, and also how those polling results will effect the decisions made on behalf of the campaign from there on out. In this case though, it is important now to potential candidates of the 2016 election because they can see if they are a front-runner, or if they still need to work harder to become a serious potential candidate. In the case of Jeb Bush, in recent polls he is one of the front-runners in the Republican Party, but his position varies when you include everyone.

http://elections.huffingtonpost.com/pollster/2016-national-gop-primary

An interesting poll I researched was one over the GOP primary for 2016 that has been tracking results since 2013 up until now and continues to do so. (Found in the link above.) Within this particular poll, Jeb Bush has come out on top, which should be reassuring in some aspect, but then again that was only one poll taken and polls are not necessarily always accurate.

Here is another poll taken that had the comparison of Jeb Bush vs. Hillary Clinton in 2016, which had an opposite result for Jeb Bush. According to these results, Jeb has to climb a mountain if he wants to catch up to Hillary Clinton, which is assuming though that they are their party nominations in the 2016 presidential election. These polls in general say that many individuals are aware of Jeb Bush at this point in time, which is something positive to take away. Also the fact that he was within so many polls really shows that people are interested in him, whether it is for positive or even negative reasons. Overall these polls including Jeb Bush are just some of many to consider, and even then you have to consider what goes into each poll.

Although I did find a lot of different polls that included Jeb Bush, I still believe though that polls’ ability to be accurate is truly based on luck. It is luck because each poll has a different sample size, diversity within the sample; each poll is also conducted at differing times, along with various other factors that contribute to polling. Since it is about two years out from the election, there is still so much time left and things change constantly, especially in an election as enormous as this one. I believe that for potential candidates, such as Jeb Bush, we can learn only so much that could help their campaigns at this point in time. We will be able to learn more though the closer the time gets to the election because more will be occurring with the candidates, and the polls ability to be accurate will be much greater. All in all, polling can be useful, but can also not be useful once-o-ever.